Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000603 0.000694 0.000790 0.000900 0.001021 0.001151 0.001300
2025-05-11 0.000450 0.000572 0.000711 0.000881 0.001081 0.001307 0.001581
2025-05-18 0.000383 0.000520 0.000685 0.000894 0.001150 0.001449 0.001823
2025-05-25 0.000327 0.000473 0.000655 0.000896 0.001200 0.001568 0.002038
2025-06-01 0.000272 0.000418 0.000608 0.000868 0.001207 0.001627 0.002179
2025-06-08 0.000229 0.000372 0.000566 0.000842 0.001211 0.001680 0.002309
2025-06-15 0.000200 0.000343 0.000545 0.000839 0.001243 0.001767 0.002482
2025-06-22 0.000177 0.000319 0.000526 0.000837 0.001274 0.001852 0.002653
2025-06-29 0.000154 0.000293 0.000503 0.000826 0.001291 0.001916 0.002797
2025-07-06 0.000133 0.000268 0.000477 0.000809 0.001298 0.001966 0.002922
2025-07-13 0.000123 0.000259 0.000476 0.000828 0.001354 0.002084 0.003140
2025-07-20 0.000113 0.000248 0.000471 0.000840 0.001401 0.002190 0.003343
2025-07-27 0.000099 0.000230 0.000453 0.000830 0.001415 0.002252 0.003490
2025-08-03 0.000086 0.000210 0.000431 0.000813 0.001419 0.002298 0.003616
2025-08-10 0.000079 0.000202 0.000427 0.000825 0.001465 0.002405 0.003829
2025-08-17 0.000071 0.000191 0.000417 0.000827 0.001496 0.002491 0.004012
2025-08-24 0.000060 0.000173 0.000392 0.000800 0.001481 0.002507 0.004096
2025-08-31 0.000051 0.000156 0.000369 0.000776 0.001467 0.002524 0.004179
2025-09-07 0.000045 0.000147 0.000359 0.000773 0.001488 0.002594 0.004342
2025-09-14 0.000041 0.000139 0.000350 0.000771 0.001510 0.002665 0.004506
2025-09-21 0.000035 0.000129 0.000337 0.000761 0.001517 0.002712 0.004636
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000118 0.000322 0.000745 0.001513 0.002744 0.004743
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000116 0.000323 0.000763 0.001567 0.002866 0.004988